Every national leader, scored across nine dimensions of power — from economy and diplomacy to crisis management and defense. Compare current form against the legacy they'll leave behind, and see who's really delivering.
Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno is the President of Chad, from the independent politician.
How is Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno rated on NationsHelm?
Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno holds a Leadership Rating of 33 out of 100 (very weak). It is a derived blend of sourced leadership dimensions — governance, communication, diplomacy and others — never an estimate.
What are Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno's strengths and weaknesses?
Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno's strongest leadership dimension is Economy (70/100); the weakest is Institutional Integrity (2/100), ranked from the leadership radar.
What challenges does Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno face?
The main pressures are governance accountability and institutional dependency. Institutional Integrity score of 2 reflects persistent accountability pressures that constrain institutional effectiveness.
What kind of leader is Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno?
Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno profiles as a Technocrat — Governs through expertise, institutional capacity, and rational policy design rather than political mobilization.
How is Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno viewed internationally?
Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno has a Communication signal of 22/100 from GDELT media coverage and a Diplomatic Signal of 49/100 from GDELT events.
Data coverage:112 live·72 derived·1 authored·15 beta|Last refreshed: Jul 15, 2026|Methodology:Reconstructable|Cite:How to cite
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Profile
Overall33as of Jul 2026
Role
President
Party
independent politician
Term Started
May 2024
Government
Presidential Republic
Political Position
No data
No expert-survey data available.
SourceWorld Bank + derivedMethodWeighted averageConfMedium✓ ReconstructableⓘLeadership Rating is a weighted average of 9 dimensions. Five use live World Bank indicators; the rest are derived from sourced signals (WIPO/Oxford/UNESCO, GDELT, World Bank + UCDP, survey data) where coverage exists. Diplomacy is a GDELT-derived engagement proxy, and anything unsourced shows as no data. Political position is V-Dem V-Party expert coding. Full weights on the Methodology page.
Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno, President of Chad, is rated 33 (lower tier) on NationsHelm's Leadership scale. Their standout dimension is Economy (70/100). In global media, their Communication signal reads 22/100 (high confidence), tracked from GDELT. The pressure to watch: Governance Accountability — Institutional Integrity score of 2 reflects persistent accountability pressures that constrain institutional effectiveness.
The data & sources
The 33 rating is a derived blend of Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno's leadership dimensions, each computed from sourced public inputs — none estimated. Communication 22/100 derives from GDELT DOC tone, reach and message resilience (high confidence). Diplomatic Signal 49/100 (medium confidence) from GDELT 2.1 events + DOC. Governing-stability conditions score 36/100, renormalised over WGI, V-Dem, UCDP and the Fragile States Index.
The risk read
For country-risk purposes, Maréchal Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno's tenure reads as fragile: governing-stability conditions score 36/100. Crisis exposure 18/100 (Minimal exposure); response untested. External conditions score 51/100 — the difficulty of the hand they govern. For the full opportunity, market-pulse and resilience read, see Chad's nation page.
The strategic read
Governing conditions: stability 36/100, external conditions 51/100. Live pressures: governance accountability and institutional dependency. The sharpest institutional vulnerability is Institutional Integrity (2/100). Profiles as a Technocrat — Governs through expertise, institutional capacity, and rational policy design rather than political mobilization.
Downloadable NationsHelm cards for each signal in this dossier.
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Generating…
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Generating…
Strengths & weaknesses
Generating…
Leadership archetype
Generating…
Communication signal
Generating…
Crisis signal
Generating…
Diplomatic signal
Generating…
Leadership conditions
Generating…
Current challenges
Leadership Radar
Current Capability
Governance
27
Economy
70
Diplomacy
45
Politics
24
Crisis Response
—
Vision
18
Communication
22
Institutional Integrity
2
Defense
34
Source: World Bank + derived·Method: Mixed·✓ ReconstructableⓘGovernance, Economy and Politics use live World Bank / WGI indicators. Institutional Integrity (V-Dem), Vision (WIPO/Oxford/UNESCO), Defense (real force counts), Crisis Response (World Bank + UCDP + WGI), Communication (GDELT) and Diplomacy (the Diplomatic Signal) are sourced or derived signals. Any dimension without a sourced signal shows as no data. Full model on the Methodology page.
Country scores are blended with live World Bank data where available. Difficulty reflects the structural challenge of governing this nation — not the leader's individual performance.
Leadership Archetype
Technocrat
Governs through expertise, institutional capacity, and rational policy design rather than political mobilization. This profile thrives in environments where execution matters more than persuasion.
SourceDerivedMethodRule-based classificationConfDeterministic✓ ReconstructableⓘArchetypes are derived automatically from the leadership stat profile — not hand-assigned. No archetype is assigned when the profile lacks a qualifying signal: the leader reads as "No data", never a fallback label. A secondary archetype is added only when a stat scores exceptionally high.
Crisis
Exposure
18/ 100
Minimal exposure
Response
Untested
Untested
Low confidence · no major shock in mandate
Worst year (2024) — shock drivers
Conflict intensity33
Economic contraction0
Political-stability decline59
Strengths & Weaknesses
Top Strengths
Economy70
Economic stewardship, growth, and macro stability
Key Weaknesses
Institutional Integrity2
Perceived transparency and anti-corruption track record
Vision18
Strategic foresight and long-term reform capacity
Diplomatic Signal
49/ 10070% sourced · 2026-07-07
Engagement volume40%30
International diplomatic events the country takes part in (GDELT Events) — country-level
Cooperative share30%73
Share of international interactions coded cooperative vs conflictual — country-level
Media tone20%—
Favourability of foreign coverage of the leader on diplomacy — leader-level
Geographic spread
Communication Signal
22/ 100high confidence
Coverage tone42%35
Favourability of media coverage over the tenure (GDELT tenure-mean tone), cross-leader percentile
Media reach33%5
Media volume (GDELT tenure-median daily coverage) percentile, gated down when coverage is hostile
Message resilience25%23
Does tone / approval hold up when attention spikes vs. calmer periods (derived)
Reach is discounted to 29% of its raw percentile because tenure-mean coverage tone skews unfavourable — hostile attention isn't credited as positive reach.
SourceGDELT DOC 2.0MethodWeighted blend (42/33/25)ConfHigh✓ ReconstructableⓘA pure media-communication signal, blended from GDELT and renormalised over what's present: Coverage Tone (42%); Media Reach (33%, gated down when coverage is hostile); and Message Resilience (25%). Domestic approval is not counted here. Shown only where GDELT coverage exists. Full model on the Methodology page.
Current Challenges
Governance Accountabilityhigh
Institutional Integrity score of 2 reflects persistent accountability pressures that constrain institutional effectiveness.
Institutional Dependencyhigh
Stability score of 36 indicates the system's performance is heavily dependent on this leader — a concentration risk.
Legitimacy Pressurehigh
Continuity & legitimacy of 15 points to a contested or fragile mandate underpinning Chad's institutions.
Communication Deficitmedium
Communication score of 22 — the leadership barely registers in the public arena, limiting its ability to build support or steer the narrative.
Leadership Conditions
Government Stability
36
High factional pressure · Contested legitimacy · Low political violence
External Conditions
51
Neutral external backdrop.
Stability breakdown
Political stability30%36
WGI Political Stability & Absence of Violence
Institutional strength20%27
WGI Rule of Law, Government Effectiveness & Control of Corruption
Continuity & legitimacy15%
Compare this leader
Stack this leader against any other in the NationsHelm database.
·✓ ReconstructableⓘCountry scores are the unweighted average of scored World Bank indicators — the same model used on the nation's own page. Difficulty reflects structural constraints on governing this nation, independent of the current leader, and is used to compute the Difficulty-Adjusted Score.
Each is a global percentile: how this year's shock compares to every country-year on record. Disaster shocks are not yet sourced (no open-licensed annual series).
Sourced from 3 mandate-years (2024–2026), 3 of 4 shock components present.
SourceWorld Bank GDP + UCDP deaths (annual + Candidate GED) + WGI stabilityMethodCountry-year shock severity · peer-relative damageConfLow✓ ReconstructableⓘCrisis Exposure measures how severely a leader was tested — a peak-biased aggregate of per-year shock severity (conflict intensity, economic contraction and political-stability decline vs. recent normal) over the mandate. It is context, not a verdict: high exposure is neither good nor bad on its own. Crisis Response measures how the country fared during its genuine crisis years relative to comparable crisis episodes worldwide — country-years hit with the same shock severity. Higher = less national damage than peers at that severity. Leaders who never faced a major shock are marked Untested rather than rewarded. Per country-year, real WB/UCDP/WGI shocks are winsorised and percentile-ranked into a ShockSeverity; Exposure is the peak-biased mandate aggregate. Crisis years (severity ≥ 60) score Response = 100 − damage percentile among comparable-severity crises worldwide, then severity-weighted over the mandate. Untested = no major shock (never rewarded). Absent components are reweighted, never filled.
Communication22
Public communication, oratory, and media presence
Politics24
Political coalition-building and governability
Governance27
State management and policy execution capacity
Source: Derived·Method: Ranked by stat value·✓ ReconstructableⓘUp to five strengths (dimensions scoring 70+) and five weaknesses (scoring below 70), ranked from the leadership radar. Descriptions are fixed per dimension and don't vary by country. Dimensions without a sourced signal show as no data. Full model on the Methodology page.
10%
—
Distinct foreign source countries covering the leader on diplomacy — leader-level
Partial coverage: 70% of the formula's weight is currently sourced; the score renormalises over what's present. Remaining components appear as data lands.
SourceGDELT 2.1 Events + DOC APIMethodWeighted proxy (40/30/20/10)ConfMedium✓ ReconstructableⓘA computed proxy for how actively and cooperatively the country engages the world, plus how the leader's diplomacy reads in foreign media: Engagement Volume (GDELT 2.1 Events, 40%), Cooperative Share (30%), Diplomacy-Media Tone (20%) and Geographic Spread (10%). Renormalised over available data, shown only when at least half its weight is real. Full model on the Methodology page.
Source: Derived·Method: Rule-based·✓ ReconstructableⓘFlags challenges when key dimensions fall below thresholds (Economy < 55, Institutional Integrity < 50, Stability < 50) or difficulty is Very Hard / Legendary. Economy derives from World Bank indicators; Institutional Integrity from V-Dem's executive-corruption index (World Bank Control of Corruption as fallback).
15
V-Dem political continuity and regime legitimacy
Violence & safety15%79
UCDP organized-violence deaths, population-scaled and inverted — prefers the fresh current-year UCDP-CED reading, else the finalized annual GED
Social cohesion10%13
Fragile States Index social-cohesion pillar
Stability trend10%46
3-year direction of the WGI stability score
Time in Office 25 months·Since May 2024
Source: WGI · V-Dem · UCDP · FSI · World Bank·Method: Weighted blend·✓ ReconstructableⓘGovernment Stability blends six sourced signals, renormalised over what's available: WGI Political Stability (30%), institutional strength (20%), V-Dem continuity (15%), UCDP violence deaths (current-year UCDP-CED where available, else finalized annual GED, 15%), Fragile States social cohesion (10%) and the 3-year WGI trend (10%). External Conditions derives from a World Bank GDP-growth shock over the tenure.
